2025-26 Mountain West Bracketology: Feb. 13

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LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - MARCH 15: A Mountain West Conference logo is seen center court before the championship game between the Colorado State Rams and the Boise State Broncos during the Mountain West Conference men’s basketball tournament at the Thomas & Mack Center on March 15, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Rams defeated the Broncos 69-56. (Photo by David Becker/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Happy Friday, everyone! We are nearing the one-month mark until Selection Sunday. Where does each potential at-large bid stand as we enter the second full weekend of February? Let’s examine!

At Large Candidates:

Utah State:

NET: 23

KenPom: 25

Lunardi: 7-seed

Bracket Matrix (out of 113 simulations; Feb. 12): 113

Average Bracket Matrix Seed: 7.8

Skinny: Similarly to how it’s been all season, Utah State is currently in no danger of missing the cut as an at-large. Yes, it’s loss to Quad 3 UNLV — which came on the heels of a loss to Grand Canyon — likely made many hold its breath. But the Aggies remain 8-2 in Quad 1-2 games, including an unbeaten 5-0 in Quad 2 affairs after their two-point win over Wyoming last weekend. As a result, they have moved up the totem poll in Lunardi’s — and in most people’s — recent bracket (simulations).

Still More Work To Do:

New Mexico:

NET: 44

KenPom: 45

Lunardi: First Four Out

Bracket Matrix: 15

Average Bracket Matrix Seed: 11

Skinny: New Mexico earned a resume-defining win over Grand Canyon in Phoenix on Wednesday. The Lobos choked away a 20-point lead, only to evidently secure a six-point win on the back of freshman guard Jake Hall. Although that game dropped from a Quad 1 to a Quad 2 win in the NET’s most recent update.

San Diego State:

NET: 42

KenPom: 43

Lunardi: Last Four In

Bracket Matrix: 60

Average Bracket Matrix Seed: 11

Skinny: Like New Mexico, San Diego State is right on the Last Four In/First Four Out line. They are 1-3 in Quad 1 games and 3-1 in Quad 2 games. SDSU will have three more Q1 opportunties over the last month, plus a pair of Quad 2 opportunities — including one against Nevada Saturday. It must take advantage.



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