NCAA Tournament projections for Alabama baseball after quick SEC Tournament exit

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The latest expert projections for the 2025 NCAA Division I baseball tournament are in, and the Alabama Crimson Tide have fallen a few spots.

Alabama (41-16 overall) will still be in the final 64-team postseason bracket when it's unveiled in full on Monday. Nothing the Crimson Tide did this week at the SEC Tournament is Hoover was ever going to change that.

What Alabama and its fans had hoped for was a strong enough showing to lock up a top-16 national seed. Doing so would have ensured Alabama of hosting an NCAA tournament regional. Given that coach Rob Vaughn's team had already won 40 games and was No. 9 in the RPI, it wasn't an outrageous thought.

Even so, those hopes fell by the wayside on Day 2 in Hoover when Tennessee eliminated Alabama from the SEC's tournament with a 15-10 thumping. Alabama went 1-1 in Hoover, nudging past No. 16 seed Missouri 4-1 for its only victory this week. In other words, the Crimson Tide did nothing to make one last positive impression on the selection committee who will decide their fate over the weekend.

In the meantime, here are the experts' latest postseason projections for Alabama as of Saturday.

NCAA Baseball Tournament 2025: Will Alabama host a regional after SEC Tournament trounce?

May 21, 2025; Hoover, AL, USA; Alabama head coach Rob Vaughn talks with assistant coach Anthony Papio during a time out as the Crimson Tide played Tennessee in the second round of the SEC Baseball Tournament at the Hoover Met.

Baseball America: Alabama is a two-seed projection, visiting host Florida State (38-13) with Oklahoma State (28-23) and Bethune-Cookman (36-21) in the Tallahassee Regional at Dick Howser Stadium.

D1 Baseball: Alabama is a two-seed projection, visiting host Clemson (43-15) with UConn (38-20) and Xavier (32-27) in the Clemson Regional at Doug Kingsmore Stadium.

The Tennessean: Alabama is a two-seed projection, visiting host Florida State with Troy (39-21) and Bethune-Cookman in Tallahassee Regional.

On3: Alabama is a two-seed projection, visiting host Clemson with Troy and USC Upstate (35-23) in Clemson Regional.

Alabama baseball RPI

Heading into Saturday, Alabama was 12th in the college baseball RPI with a 41-16 overall record. The Crimson Tide are No. 19 in strength of schedule rankings and are 14-12 against Quad 1 opponents, 6-3 against Quad 2 teams, 4-0 against Quad 3 teams, and 17-1 against Quad 4 opponents. Alabama dropped three spots in the RPI following their loss to Tennessee.

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This article originally appeared on Roll Tide Wire: Alabama baseball not likely to host NCAA Tournament regional, experts



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